National Weather Service guidance places today's high temperature at Central Park observatory in New York City at 62°F under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 62-63°F outcome at 57.5% implied probability. This reflects consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s, influenced by a lingering cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm advection while allowing modest diurnal heating above the April climatological normal of 57°F. Early morning observations at KN YC station show temperatures near 58°F after overnight lows in the mid-50s, consistent with this trajectory following yesterday's subdued conditions. Model spread introduces minor uncertainty around cloud cover and insolation, potentially nudging outcomes toward 60-61°F or 64-65°F, with hourly updates through afternoon providing final clarity ahead of official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
62-63°F 57%
60-61°F 30%
64-65°F 12%
59°F or below 3.1%
$93,855 Vol.
$93,855 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
59°F or below
3%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
57%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 57%
60-61°F 30%
64-65°F 12%
59°F or below 3.1%
$93,855 Vol.
$93,855 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
59°F or below
$18,952 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$9,691 Vol.
30%
62-63°F
$10,410 Vol.
57%
64-65°F
$7,046 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$8,354 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$5,593 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$7,519 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$7,184 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,681 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,085 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$8,504 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance places today's high temperature at Central Park observatory in New York City at 62°F under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 62-63°F outcome at 57.5% implied probability. This reflects consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s, influenced by a lingering cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm advection while allowing modest diurnal heating above the April climatological normal of 57°F. Early morning observations at KN YC station show temperatures near 58°F after overnight lows in the mid-50s, consistent with this trajectory following yesterday's subdued conditions. Model spread introduces minor uncertainty around cloud cover and insolation, potentially nudging outcomes toward 60-61°F or 64-65°F, with hourly updates through afternoon providing final clarity ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$93,855End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance places today's high temperature at Central Park observatory in New York City at 62°F under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 62-63°F outcome at 57.5% implied probability. This reflects consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s, influenced by a lingering cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm advection while allowing modest diurnal heating above the April climatological normal of 57°F. Early morning observations at KN YC station show temperatures near 58°F after overnight lows in the mid-50s, consistent with this trajectory following yesterday's subdued conditions. Model spread introduces minor uncertainty around cloud cover and insolation, potentially nudging outcomes toward 60-61°F or 64-65°F, with hourly updates through afternoon providing final clarity ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$93,855End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance places today's high temperature at Central Park observatory in New York City at 62°F under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 62-63°F outcome at 57.5% implied probability. This reflects consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s, influenced by a lingering cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm advection while allowing modest diurnal heating above the April climatological normal of 57°F. Early morning observations at KN YC station show temperatures near 58°F after overnight lows in the mid-50s, consistent with this trajectory following yesterday's subdued conditions. Model spread introduces minor uncertainty around cloud cover and insolation, potentially nudging outcomes toward 60-61°F or 64-65°F, with hourly updates through afternoon providing final clarity ahead of official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions