Trader consensus clusters around mid-70s highs for NYC's April 13 at LaGuardia Airport Station, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 75°F under mostly cloudy skies with a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers. This stems from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing southwesterly flow ahead of an upper-level ridge building over the Northeast, driving above-normal 500 mb heights and temperatures 10-15°F warmer than mid-April climatological averages near 60°F. Key differentiators include timing of boundary-layer mixing versus potential cloud-induced capping, with ensembles split: drier runs favor 76-77°F, while moister scenarios hold at 72-73°F. Updated 12z forecasts due soon, with real-time observations critical as resolution approaches in 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 13?
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 21.1%
72-73°F 18.7%
78-79°F 15.8%
$23,627 Vol.
$23,627 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
16%
80°F or higher
13%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 21.1%
72-73°F 18.7%
78-79°F 15.8%
$23,627 Vol.
$23,627 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
61°F or below
$5,523 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,239 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$2,110 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$629 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$986 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$862 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$982 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$653 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$1,489 Vol.
16%
80°F or higher
$4,601 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around mid-70s highs for NYC's April 13 at LaGuardia Airport Station, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 75°F under mostly cloudy skies with a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers. This stems from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing southwesterly flow ahead of an upper-level ridge building over the Northeast, driving above-normal 500 mb heights and temperatures 10-15°F warmer than mid-April climatological averages near 60°F. Key differentiators include timing of boundary-layer mixing versus potential cloud-induced capping, with ensembles split: drier runs favor 76-77°F, while moister scenarios hold at 72-73°F. Updated 12z forecasts due soon, with real-time observations critical as resolution approaches in 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$23,627End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around mid-70s highs for NYC's April 13 at LaGuardia Airport Station, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 75°F under mostly cloudy skies with a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers. This stems from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing southwesterly flow ahead of an upper-level ridge building over the Northeast, driving above-normal 500 mb heights and temperatures 10-15°F warmer than mid-April climatological averages near 60°F. Key differentiators include timing of boundary-layer mixing versus potential cloud-induced capping, with ensembles split: drier runs favor 76-77°F, while moister scenarios hold at 72-73°F. Updated 12z forecasts due soon, with real-time observations critical as resolution approaches in 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,627End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around mid-70s highs for NYC's April 13 at LaGuardia Airport Station, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 75°F under mostly cloudy skies with a slight 20% chance of afternoon showers. This stems from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing southwesterly flow ahead of an upper-level ridge building over the Northeast, driving above-normal 500 mb heights and temperatures 10-15°F warmer than mid-April climatological averages near 60°F. Key differentiators include timing of boundary-layer mixing versus potential cloud-induced capping, with ensembles split: drier runs favor 76-77°F, while moister scenarios hold at 72-73°F. Updated 12z forecasts due soon, with real-time observations critical as resolution approaches in 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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