Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 26°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 11, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) most recent bulletins relaying observed peaks near this mark amid overcast skies and light rain, with northeast winds of 16-24 km/h limiting further warming. Real-time station data captured afternoon maxima aligning precisely with 26°C before stabilization set in, consistent with spring climatology where April highs typically range 20-26°C under mild southerly flows. Model consensus from CMA short-range guidance reinforces this, projecting no significant evening rebound. Realistic shifts to 27°C or higher would demand improbable clearing and enhanced solar insolation, unlikely given current atmospheric stability; final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$182,464 Vol.
$182,464 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$182,464 Vol.
$182,464 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
26°C
$17,866 Vol.
100%
27°C
$15,704 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20,520 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,754 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,152 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,693 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 26°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 11, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) most recent bulletins relaying observed peaks near this mark amid overcast skies and light rain, with northeast winds of 16-24 km/h limiting further warming. Real-time station data captured afternoon maxima aligning precisely with 26°C before stabilization set in, consistent with spring climatology where April highs typically range 20-26°C under mild southerly flows. Model consensus from CMA short-range guidance reinforces this, projecting no significant evening rebound. Realistic shifts to 27°C or higher would demand improbable clearing and enhanced solar insolation, unlikely given current atmospheric stability; final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$182,464End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 26°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 11, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) most recent bulletins relaying observed peaks near this mark amid overcast skies and light rain, with northeast winds of 16-24 km/h limiting further warming. Real-time station data captured afternoon maxima aligning precisely with 26°C before stabilization set in, consistent with spring climatology where April highs typically range 20-26°C under mild southerly flows. Model consensus from CMA short-range guidance reinforces this, projecting no significant evening rebound. Realistic shifts to 27°C or higher would demand improbable clearing and enhanced solar insolation, unlikely given current atmospheric stability; final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$182,464End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 26°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 11, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) most recent bulletins relaying observed peaks near this mark amid overcast skies and light rain, with northeast winds of 16-24 km/h limiting further warming. Real-time station data captured afternoon maxima aligning precisely with 26°C before stabilization set in, consistent with spring climatology where April highs typically range 20-26°C under mild southerly flows. Model consensus from CMA short-range guidance reinforces this, projecting no significant evening rebound. Realistic shifts to 27°C or higher would demand improbable clearing and enhanced solar insolation, unlikely given current atmospheric stability; final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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