Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 11 reached 20°C mid-afternoon, amid a mild autumn day with increasing high cloud cover and light northerlies limiting further warming. This aligns with seasonal climatology, where Wellington's April average highs hover around 18°C, and model consensus had projected 19–21°C before observations locked in the peak. Trader sentiment reflects near-certainty at 100% implied probability for 20°C, backed by real-time data showing subsequent cooling into the evening. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though station reliability and the day's progression make this improbable. Final MetService summaries expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$201,558 Vol.
$201,558 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$201,558 Vol.
$201,558 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
20°C
$20,852 Vol.
100%
21°C
$17,660 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$14,894 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$17,591 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 11 reached 20°C mid-afternoon, amid a mild autumn day with increasing high cloud cover and light northerlies limiting further warming. This aligns with seasonal climatology, where Wellington's April average highs hover around 18°C, and model consensus had projected 19–21°C before observations locked in the peak. Trader sentiment reflects near-certainty at 100% implied probability for 20°C, backed by real-time data showing subsequent cooling into the evening. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though station reliability and the day's progression make this improbable. Final MetService summaries expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$201,558End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 11 reached 20°C mid-afternoon, amid a mild autumn day with increasing high cloud cover and light northerlies limiting further warming. This aligns with seasonal climatology, where Wellington's April average highs hover around 18°C, and model consensus had projected 19–21°C before observations locked in the peak. Trader sentiment reflects near-certainty at 100% implied probability for 20°C, backed by real-time data showing subsequent cooling into the evening. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though station reliability and the day's progression make this improbable. Final MetService summaries expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$201,558End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService observations from Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 11 reached 20°C mid-afternoon, amid a mild autumn day with increasing high cloud cover and light northerlies limiting further warming. This aligns with seasonal climatology, where Wellington's April average highs hover around 18°C, and model consensus had projected 19–21°C before observations locked in the peak. Trader sentiment reflects near-certainty at 100% implied probability for 20°C, backed by real-time data showing subsequent cooling into the evening. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though station reliability and the day's progression make this improbable. Final MetService summaries expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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