National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 73°F in Denver today, April 11, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for 60°F or higher, as aggregated trader sentiment reflects strong model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) under persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies. This setup features clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and ample sunshine following recent warm days—73°F maximum on April 9 and 63°F on April 10—well above the 61°F climatological normal. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover from a weak disturbance or a sudden wind shift, though current observational data at Denver International Airport (KDEN) shows morning temperatures already climbing from 50°F with stable conditions; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
60°F or higher 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$156,478 Vol.
$156,478 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
60°F or higher 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$156,478 Vol.
$156,478 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
52-53°F
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$3,693 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,775 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$10,864 Vol.
<1%
60°F or higher
$124,428 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 73°F in Denver today, April 11, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for 60°F or higher, as aggregated trader sentiment reflects strong model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) under persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies. This setup features clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and ample sunshine following recent warm days—73°F maximum on April 9 and 63°F on April 10—well above the 61°F climatological normal. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover from a weak disturbance or a sudden wind shift, though current observational data at Denver International Airport (KDEN) shows morning temperatures already climbing from 50°F with stable conditions; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$156,478End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 73°F in Denver today, April 11, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for 60°F or higher, as aggregated trader sentiment reflects strong model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) under persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies. This setup features clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and ample sunshine following recent warm days—73°F maximum on April 9 and 63°F on April 10—well above the 61°F climatological normal. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover from a weak disturbance or a sudden wind shift, though current observational data at Denver International Airport (KDEN) shows morning temperatures already climbing from 50°F with stable conditions; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$156,478End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature near 73°F in Denver today, April 11, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability for 60°F or higher, as aggregated trader sentiment reflects strong model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) under persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies. This setup features clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and ample sunshine following recent warm days—73°F maximum on April 9 and 63°F on April 10—well above the 61°F climatological normal. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover from a weak disturbance or a sudden wind shift, though current observational data at Denver International Airport (KDEN) shows morning temperatures already climbing from 50°F with stable conditions; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions