Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability amid competing odds for 36°C (33%), 35°C (26%), and 34°C (24%), driven by current morning readings around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime peaks of 32–35°C, moderated by southerly sea breezes from the Atlantic and potential afternoon cloud buildup, while urban heat island effects in densely populated areas could push localized highs toward 36°C as seen in recent April days averaging 32–33°C. NiMet observations and airport data will determine the official peak by evening, with low odds for extremes underscoring climatological norms in Lagos's tropical maritime climate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 11?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 11?
34°C 40%
35°C 39%
36°C 33.2%
32°C <1%
$8,413 Vol.
$8,413 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
32°C
<1%
33°C
38%
34°C
24%
35°C
26%
36°C
33%
37°C or higher
33%
34°C 40%
35°C 39%
36°C 33.2%
32°C <1%
$8,413 Vol.
$8,413 Vol.
Apr 11, 2026
32°C
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$16 Vol.
38%
34°C
$25 Vol.
24%
35°C
$207 Vol.
26%
36°C
$229 Vol.
33%
37°C or higher
$330 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability amid competing odds for 36°C (33%), 35°C (26%), and 34°C (24%), driven by current morning readings around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime peaks of 32–35°C, moderated by southerly sea breezes from the Atlantic and potential afternoon cloud buildup, while urban heat island effects in densely populated areas could push localized highs toward 36°C as seen in recent April days averaging 32–33°C. NiMet observations and airport data will determine the official peak by evening, with low odds for extremes underscoring climatological norms in Lagos's tropical maritime climate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$8,413End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability amid competing odds for 36°C (33%), 35°C (26%), and 34°C (24%), driven by current morning readings around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime peaks of 32–35°C, moderated by southerly sea breezes from the Atlantic and potential afternoon cloud buildup, while urban heat island effects in densely populated areas could push localized highs toward 36°C as seen in recent April days averaging 32–33°C. NiMet observations and airport data will determine the official peak by evening, with low odds for extremes underscoring climatological norms in Lagos's tropical maritime climate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,413End Date
Apr 11, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability amid competing odds for 36°C (33%), 35°C (26%), and 34°C (24%), driven by current morning readings around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime peaks of 32–35°C, moderated by southerly sea breezes from the Atlantic and potential afternoon cloud buildup, while urban heat island effects in densely populated areas could push localized highs toward 36°C as seen in recent April days averaging 32–33°C. NiMet observations and airport data will determine the official peak by evening, with low odds for extremes underscoring climatological norms in Lagos's tropical maritime climate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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