Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, AccuWeather, and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 at around 23°C, driving trader consensus with that outcome leading at 27% implied probability amid tight odds for 21–24°C. Persistent cloud cover from Sichuan Basin orographic lift, combined with a 70% chance of morning showers per AccuWeather, tempers peak heating despite mild upper-air temperatures, creating differentiation: thicker clouds could cap at 22°C or below, while partial clearing might push to 24°C. Hourly forecasts peak at 23°C mid-afternoon under overcast skies. Monitor evening model runs and CMA updates for shifts in precipitation timing before resolution at official stations like Shuangliu Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
23°C 31%
22°C 26%
24°C 17%
21°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 13, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
26%
23°C
31%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 31%
22°C 26%
24°C 17%
21°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 13, 2026
17°C or below
$741 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$991 Vol.
1%
19°C
$533 Vol.
3%
20°C
$273 Vol.
6%
21°C
$207 Vol.
16%
22°C
$461 Vol.
26%
23°C
$288 Vol.
31%
24°C
$254 Vol.
17%
25°C
$355 Vol.
5%
26°C
$390 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$1,158 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, AccuWeather, and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 at around 23°C, driving trader consensus with that outcome leading at 27% implied probability amid tight odds for 21–24°C. Persistent cloud cover from Sichuan Basin orographic lift, combined with a 70% chance of morning showers per AccuWeather, tempers peak heating despite mild upper-air temperatures, creating differentiation: thicker clouds could cap at 22°C or below, while partial clearing might push to 24°C. Hourly forecasts peak at 23°C mid-afternoon under overcast skies. Monitor evening model runs and CMA updates for shifts in precipitation timing before resolution at official stations like Shuangliu Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$5,606End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, AccuWeather, and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 at around 23°C, driving trader consensus with that outcome leading at 27% implied probability amid tight odds for 21–24°C. Persistent cloud cover from Sichuan Basin orographic lift, combined with a 70% chance of morning showers per AccuWeather, tempers peak heating despite mild upper-air temperatures, creating differentiation: thicker clouds could cap at 22°C or below, while partial clearing might push to 24°C. Hourly forecasts peak at 23°C mid-afternoon under overcast skies. Monitor evening model runs and CMA updates for shifts in precipitation timing before resolution at official stations like Shuangliu Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,606End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, AccuWeather, and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 at around 23°C, driving trader consensus with that outcome leading at 27% implied probability amid tight odds for 21–24°C. Persistent cloud cover from Sichuan Basin orographic lift, combined with a 70% chance of morning showers per AccuWeather, tempers peak heating despite mild upper-air temperatures, creating differentiation: thicker clouds could cap at 22°C or below, while partial clearing might push to 24°C. Hourly forecasts peak at 23°C mid-afternoon under overcast skies. Monitor evening model runs and CMA updates for shifts in precipitation timing before resolution at official stations like Shuangliu Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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