Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12, amid persistent light rain turning to overcast skies and northeasterly breezes, driving the market-implied 84.3% probability for 17°C or below. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, well under the typical early-April high of 19°C, as a low-pressure system maintains cool air advection over the Yangtze River Delta. Model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal divergence, with trader sentiment reflecting low uncertainty in this 24-hour window; a slim 12.5% odds on 18°C accounts for potential brief clearing, though official hourly observations will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 84.7%
18°C 12%
20°C 2.4%
19°C 1.9%
$57,911 Vol.
$57,911 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
17°C or below
85%
18°C
12%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 84.7%
18°C 12%
20°C 2.4%
19°C 1.9%
$57,911 Vol.
$57,911 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
17°C or below
$10,519 Vol.
85%
18°C
$4,657 Vol.
12%
19°C
$6,665 Vol.
2%
20°C
$4,195 Vol.
2%
21°C
$4,221 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5,081 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,364 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,044 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,794 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$4,382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12, amid persistent light rain turning to overcast skies and northeasterly breezes, driving the market-implied 84.3% probability for 17°C or below. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, well under the typical early-April high of 19°C, as a low-pressure system maintains cool air advection over the Yangtze River Delta. Model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal divergence, with trader sentiment reflecting low uncertainty in this 24-hour window; a slim 12.5% odds on 18°C accounts for potential brief clearing, though official hourly observations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$57,911End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12, amid persistent light rain turning to overcast skies and northeasterly breezes, driving the market-implied 84.3% probability for 17°C or below. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, well under the typical early-April high of 19°C, as a low-pressure system maintains cool air advection over the Yangtze River Delta. Model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal divergence, with trader sentiment reflecting low uncertainty in this 24-hour window; a slim 12.5% odds on 18°C accounts for potential brief clearing, though official hourly observations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,911End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12, amid persistent light rain turning to overcast skies and northeasterly breezes, driving the market-implied 84.3% probability for 17°C or below. These conditions limit solar insolation and daytime heating, well under the typical early-April high of 19°C, as a low-pressure system maintains cool air advection over the Yangtze River Delta. Model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal divergence, with trader sentiment reflecting low uncertainty in this 24-hour window; a slim 12.5% odds on 18°C accounts for potential brief clearing, though official hourly observations will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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