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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?

Apr 12

Apr 13

Apr 14

Apr 12

Apr 13

Apr 14

15°C 23%

17°C 21%

12°C 20%

16°C 20%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C 23%

17°C 21%

12°C 20%

16°C 20%

Polymarket
NEW

8°C or below

$107 Vol.

1%

9°C

$110 Vol.

1%

10°C

$64 Vol.

1%

11°C

$70 Vol.

1%

12°C

$0 Vol.

20%

13°C

$0 Vol.

11%

14°C

$6 Vol.

12%

15°C

$0 Vol.

23%

16°C

$97 Vol.

20%

17°C

$0 Vol.

21%

18°C or higher

$11 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 11, projects Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 14 at around 14°C amid partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a 30% chance of light showers, closely matching the trader consensus with 14°C (28%), 15°C (27.5%), and 16°C (27.5%) leading. This tight clustering stems from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 12-17°C, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover extent and sunny break timing, which could boost peaks via increased insolation or cap them under persistent overcast. Recent mild spring conditions—15°C on April 5 at Schiphol Airport, inland 20°C first warm day on April 8, and April 12 also at 14°C—support above-normal potential, though coastal moderation persists. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$465
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 11, projects Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 14 at around 14°C amid partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a 30% chance of light showers, closely matching the trader consensus with 14°C (28%), 15°C (27.5%), and 16°C (27.5%) leading. This tight clustering stems from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 12-17°C, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover extent and sunny break timing, which could boost peaks via increased insolation or cap them under persistent overcast. Recent mild spring conditions—15°C on April 5 at Schiphol Airport, inland 20°C first warm day on April 8, and April 12 also at 14°C—support above-normal potential, though coastal moderation persists. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$465
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15°C" at 23%, followed by "17°C" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?" is "15°C" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "17°C" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.