KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today amid partly sunny conditions with periods of sunshine during the day, anchoring trader sentiment with 34% implied odds on 14°C and 28% on 15°C. Close competition between these outcomes stems from ensemble model consensus showing mild southerly winds advecting warmer Atlantic air, offset by variable low-level cloud cover that could limit peak insolation to 14°C or allow boundary layer heating to nudge it to 15°C during afternoon hours. Climatological April highs average 13–14°C, providing context for the tight clustering above 13°C. Monitor real-time KNMI updates and Schiphol Airport observations for intraday shifts, as resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 36%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 12%
$25,059 Vol.
$25,059 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
36%
15°C
26%
16°C
12%
17°C or higher
6%
14°C 36%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 12%
$25,059 Vol.
$25,059 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
36%
15°C
26%
16°C
12%
17°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today amid partly sunny conditions with periods of sunshine during the day, anchoring trader sentiment with 34% implied odds on 14°C and 28% on 15°C. Close competition between these outcomes stems from ensemble model consensus showing mild southerly winds advecting warmer Atlantic air, offset by variable low-level cloud cover that could limit peak insolation to 14°C or allow boundary layer heating to nudge it to 15°C during afternoon hours. Climatological April highs average 13–14°C, providing context for the tight clustering above 13°C. Monitor real-time KNMI updates and Schiphol Airport observations for intraday shifts, as resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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