Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
21°C 19%
18°C 16%
19°C 16%
22°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 14, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
12%
21°C
19%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
11%
21°C 19%
18°C 16%
19°C 16%
22°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 14, 2026
14°C or below
$625 Vol.
1%
15°C
$264 Vol.
4%
16°C
$185 Vol.
5%
17°C
$331 Vol.
11%
18°C
$384 Vol.
16%
19°C
$155 Vol.
16%
20°C
$143 Vol.
12%
21°C
$164 Vol.
19%
22°C
$125 Vol.
14%
23°C
$118 Vol.
11%
24°C or higher
$569 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$3,063End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,063End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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