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Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?

Apr 11

Apr 12

Apr 13

Apr 11

Apr 12

Apr 13

27°C 38%

26°C 31%

25°C 22%

28°C 4.5%

Polymarket

$30,707 Vol.

27°C 38%

26°C 31%

25°C 22%

28°C 4.5%

Polymarket

$30,707 Vol.

21°C or below

$4,491 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$3,889 Vol.

1%

23°C

$3,892 Vol.

1%

24°C

$3,736 Vol.

5%

25°C

$2,521 Vol.

22%

26°C

$1,871 Vol.

31%

27°C

$1,717 Vol.

38%

28°C

$2,490 Vol.

5%

29°C

$2,382 Vol.

1%

30°C

$1,537 Vol.

1%

31°C or higher

$2,181 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects Beijing's highest temperature on April 12 at 25°C under clear skies and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, following today's fine conditions with a 23°C peak after earlier rainy suppression around 14°C on April 9. Trader consensus, however, favors 27°C at 38.5% implied probability—edging out 26°C (29%) and 25°C (22.5%)—due to springtime uncertainties like enhanced solar insolation from dry northerly-to-southerly wind shifts and potential urban heat island amplification in official downtown readings. Model ensembles show tight clustering around 25-26°C, but historical April diurnal ranges of 12-15°C allow outliers if afternoon heating exceeds projections; watch hourly station data for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,707
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects Beijing's highest temperature on April 12 at 25°C under clear skies and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, following today's fine conditions with a 23°C peak after earlier rainy suppression around 14°C on April 9. Trader consensus, however, favors 27°C at 38.5% implied probability—edging out 26°C (29%) and 25°C (22.5%)—due to springtime uncertainties like enhanced solar insolation from dry northerly-to-southerly wind shifts and potential urban heat island amplification in official downtown readings. Model ensembles show tight clustering around 25-26°C, but historical April diurnal ranges of 12-15°C allow outliers if afternoon heating exceeds projections; watch hourly station data for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,707
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 38%, followed by "26°C" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?" has generated $30.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?" is "27°C" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.