India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 12 under mainly clear skies with strong daytime winds (25-35 km/h), following observed highs of 32.1°C on April 10 and 30.5°C on April 9—both well below normal after unseasonal rains cooled the region. Trader consensus favors 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (34%), reflecting ensemble model variability and expectations of gradual 2-4°C warming amid dry conditions and rising solar insolation typical for mid-April in Uttar Pradesh. Strong winds may cap peaks via enhanced mixing, but uncertainty persists; monitor IMD's evening bulletin and airport station observations for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
36°C 49%
37°C 34%
35°C 15%
38°C 4.3%
$15,983 Vol.
$15,983 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
15%
36°C
49%
37°C
34%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 34%
35°C 15%
38°C 4.3%
$15,983 Vol.
$15,983 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
15%
36°C
49%
37°C
34%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 12 under mainly clear skies with strong daytime winds (25-35 km/h), following observed highs of 32.1°C on April 10 and 30.5°C on April 9—both well below normal after unseasonal rains cooled the region. Trader consensus favors 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (34%), reflecting ensemble model variability and expectations of gradual 2-4°C warming amid dry conditions and rising solar insolation typical for mid-April in Uttar Pradesh. Strong winds may cap peaks via enhanced mixing, but uncertainty persists; monitor IMD's evening bulletin and airport station observations for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions