Latest Met Office and BBC Weather guidance positions London's lowest temperature on April 15 around 11°C, matching the market's leading implied probability of 38.5%, as persistent overcast skies and southerly breezes of 10-16 mph from an incoming frontal system curb radiative cooling overnight into early morning. This follows a record-breaking warm early April spell exceeding 20°C averages, now yielding to unsettled patterns with light rain and gusts up to 30 mph that maintain mild minima above typical 7-8°C historical April norms at London City Airport. Ensemble model consensus supports 10-13°C range, though slight shifts in cloud breaks or wind could adjust by 1-2°C; observations throughout April 15 will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on April 15?
Lowest temperature in London on April 15?
11°C 36.0%
12°C 18.0%
13°C 17%
10°C 13.6%
NEW
$29,680 Vol.
NEW
$29,680 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
14%
11°C
41%
12°C
18%
13°C
17%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 36.0%
12°C 18.0%
13°C 17%
10°C 13.6%
NEW
$29,680 Vol.
NEW
$29,680 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
6°C or below
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,016 Vol.
1%
8°C
$1,359 Vol.
1%
9°C
$4,129 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,530 Vol.
14%
11°C
$2,857 Vol.
41%
12°C
$3,497 Vol.
18%
13°C
$2,334 Vol.
17%
14°C
$753 Vol.
5%
15°C
$1,588 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$8,253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office and BBC Weather guidance positions London's lowest temperature on April 15 around 11°C, matching the market's leading implied probability of 38.5%, as persistent overcast skies and southerly breezes of 10-16 mph from an incoming frontal system curb radiative cooling overnight into early morning. This follows a record-breaking warm early April spell exceeding 20°C averages, now yielding to unsettled patterns with light rain and gusts up to 30 mph that maintain mild minima above typical 7-8°C historical April norms at London City Airport. Ensemble model consensus supports 10-13°C range, though slight shifts in cloud breaks or wind could adjust by 1-2°C; observations throughout April 15 will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$29,680End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office and BBC Weather guidance positions London's lowest temperature on April 15 around 11°C, matching the market's leading implied probability of 38.5%, as persistent overcast skies and southerly breezes of 10-16 mph from an incoming frontal system curb radiative cooling overnight into early morning. This follows a record-breaking warm early April spell exceeding 20°C averages, now yielding to unsettled patterns with light rain and gusts up to 30 mph that maintain mild minima above typical 7-8°C historical April norms at London City Airport. Ensemble model consensus supports 10-13°C range, though slight shifts in cloud breaks or wind could adjust by 1-2°C; observations throughout April 15 will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,680End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and BBC Weather guidance positions London's lowest temperature on April 15 around 11°C, matching the market's leading implied probability of 38.5%, as persistent overcast skies and southerly breezes of 10-16 mph from an incoming frontal system curb radiative cooling overnight into early morning. This follows a record-breaking warm early April spell exceeding 20°C averages, now yielding to unsettled patterns with light rain and gusts up to 30 mph that maintain mild minima above typical 7-8°C historical April norms at London City Airport. Ensemble model consensus supports 10-13°C range, though slight shifts in cloud breaks or wind could adjust by 1-2°C; observations throughout April 15 will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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