Trader consensus implies a 93% probability of 32°C or higher for Panama City's highest temperature on April 15, driven by forecast model agreement projecting peaks around 33°C at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport under dominant high pressure and clear skies typical of the April dry season. Accuweather's outlook confirms daily highs ranging 31–34°C, while historical data shows April averages of 32°C with highs rarely below 29°C due to minimal cloud cover and sea breeze moderation. This positioning reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment of low precipitation risk and consistent recent warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer intensification or divergent model runs introducing cooler advection, with overnight GFS/ECMWF updates key to monitor before observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
32°C or higher 93%
31°C 4.3%
30°C 2.4%
29°C <1%
$11,211 Vol.
$11,211 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
93%
32°C or higher 93%
31°C 4.3%
30°C 2.4%
29°C <1%
$11,211 Vol.
$11,211 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies a 93% probability of 32°C or higher for Panama City's highest temperature on April 15, driven by forecast model agreement projecting peaks around 33°C at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport under dominant high pressure and clear skies typical of the April dry season. Accuweather's outlook confirms daily highs ranging 31–34°C, while historical data shows April averages of 32°C with highs rarely below 29°C due to minimal cloud cover and sea breeze moderation. This positioning reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment of low precipitation risk and consistent recent warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer intensification or divergent model runs introducing cooler advection, with overnight GFS/ECMWF updates key to monitor before observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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