Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered across 25–35°C outcomes due to conflicting model outputs amid a recent cool spell. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s latest weekly outlook (April 13–19) calls for daytime maximums around 32°C under pleasant conditions, driven by lingering effects of early-April rainfall, westerly winds, and potential lows dipping to 17–19°C on Friday–Saturday—well below the seasonal April average of 33–34°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread, with some runs favoring 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and sea breeze moderation, while others project up to 33°C if clearer conditions prevail. New PMD updates and model refreshes expected daily could sharpen the outlook before resolution based on official airport station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 29%
29°C 22%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
13%
28°C
18%
29°C
22%
30°C
22%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C
18%
34°C
18%
35°C or higher
40%
35°C or higher 29%
29°C 22%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
25°C or below
$337 Vol.
1%
26°C
$215 Vol.
12%
27°C
$111 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$0 Vol.
18%
35°C or higher
$10 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered across 25–35°C outcomes due to conflicting model outputs amid a recent cool spell. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s latest weekly outlook (April 13–19) calls for daytime maximums around 32°C under pleasant conditions, driven by lingering effects of early-April rainfall, westerly winds, and potential lows dipping to 17–19°C on Friday–Saturday—well below the seasonal April average of 33–34°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread, with some runs favoring 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and sea breeze moderation, while others project up to 33°C if clearer conditions prevail. New PMD updates and model refreshes expected daily could sharpen the outlook before resolution based on official airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$662End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered across 25–35°C outcomes due to conflicting model outputs amid a recent cool spell. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s latest weekly outlook (April 13–19) calls for daytime maximums around 32°C under pleasant conditions, driven by lingering effects of early-April rainfall, westerly winds, and potential lows dipping to 17–19°C on Friday–Saturday—well below the seasonal April average of 33–34°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread, with some runs favoring 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and sea breeze moderation, while others project up to 33°C if clearer conditions prevail. New PMD updates and model refreshes expected daily could sharpen the outlook before resolution based on official airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$662End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered across 25–35°C outcomes due to conflicting model outputs amid a recent cool spell. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s latest weekly outlook (April 13–19) calls for daytime maximums around 32°C under pleasant conditions, driven by lingering effects of early-April rainfall, westerly winds, and potential lows dipping to 17–19°C on Friday–Saturday—well below the seasonal April average of 33–34°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread, with some runs favoring 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and sea breeze moderation, while others project up to 33°C if clearer conditions prevail. New PMD updates and model refreshes expected daily could sharpen the outlook before resolution based on official airport station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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