Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) at Helsinki-Vantaa airport on April 17, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest forecast updated April 15, projecting a midday peak of 16°C under light winds (2-5 m/s) and dry conditions with under 10% precipitation chance. This reflects a mild southerly air mass advection following recent northerly flows that kept highs near 9-12°C over the past week. Uncertainty persists across 14-18°C outcomes due to variable cloud cover impacting solar heating and minor model divergences in ECMWF/GFS ensembles, with 15°C (20%) and 17°C (17%) close contenders. New FMI and global model runs expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
16°C 34%
15°C 20%
17°C 20%
18°C or higher 14%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14°C
13%
15°C
20%
16°C
34%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
14%
16°C 34%
15°C 20%
17°C 20%
18°C or higher 14%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14°C
13%
15°C
20%
16°C
34%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) at Helsinki-Vantaa airport on April 17, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest forecast updated April 15, projecting a midday peak of 16°C under light winds (2-5 m/s) and dry conditions with under 10% precipitation chance. This reflects a mild southerly air mass advection following recent northerly flows that kept highs near 9-12°C over the past week. Uncertainty persists across 14-18°C outcomes due to variable cloud cover impacting solar heating and minor model divergences in ECMWF/GFS ensembles, with 15°C (20%) and 17°C (17%) close contenders. New FMI and global model runs expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions