Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Dallas maximum near 97–99°F on June 29, aligning trader emphasis on the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins. Late-June climatology at DFW features mean daily maxima around 95°F under typical high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, with modest spread arising from afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, weak convective inhibition, and minor model differences in low-level moisture. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and dry conditions have sustained upper-90s readings in recent days, while low probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-96°F outcomes reflect limited forecast divergence this close to the event and the narrow resolution thresholds at the official Dallas Love Field station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 29?
96-97°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$93,468 Vol.
$93,468 Vol.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$93,468 Vol.
$93,468 Vol.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Dallas maximum near 97–99°F on June 29, aligning trader emphasis on the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins. Late-June climatology at DFW features mean daily maxima around 95°F under typical high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, with modest spread arising from afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, weak convective inhibition, and minor model differences in low-level moisture. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and dry conditions have sustained upper-90s readings in recent days, while low probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-96°F outcomes reflect limited forecast divergence this close to the event and the narrow resolution thresholds at the official Dallas Love Field station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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