Trader consensus clusters tightly around 84-87°F for Houston's March 27 high, driven by ensemble averages from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models forecasting 85-87°F under a potent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Southerly winds from the Gulf advect warm, moist air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low cloud probabilities (under 20%) enable strong diurnal heating. Differentiating the leaders, 82-83°F hinges on potential morning cloud linger or slight northerly shear, versus 86-87°F if ridge axis centers perfectly overhead per latest 12z runs showing slight warm bias. Historical late-March norms near 77°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with 18z updates pivotal for odds shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on March 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 18%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 10%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
4%
94°F or higher
16%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 18%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 10%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
4%
94°F or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 84-87°F for Houston's March 27 high, driven by ensemble averages from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models forecasting 85-87°F under a potent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Southerly winds from the Gulf advect warm, moist air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low cloud probabilities (under 20%) enable strong diurnal heating. Differentiating the leaders, 82-83°F hinges on potential morning cloud linger or slight northerly shear, versus 86-87°F if ridge axis centers perfectly overhead per latest 12z runs showing slight warm bias. Historical late-March norms near 77°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with 18z updates pivotal for odds shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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