National Weather Service observations at Houston's Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby (KHOU) airports currently show temperatures reaching 89°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, already exceeding the 86°F threshold and supporting the market's unanimous trader consensus on 86°F or higher as the day's high. This aligns with official forecasts projecting a peak near 87°F amid high pressure dominance, above the May 10 climatological normal of 85°F. Model consensus reflects ample solar heating with minimal cloud interference so far. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of late-afternoon thunderstorms ahead of an approaching cold front capping temperatures below 86°F, though low rain chances (slight) and current upward trends render this unlikely; final NWS daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on May 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 10?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$40,858 Vol.
$40,858 Vol.
May 10, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$40,858 Vol.
$40,858 Vol.
May 10, 2026
67°F or below
$2,056 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,788 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,222 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$7,917 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,253 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,479 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,926 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,699 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,006 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,650 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$4,863 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Houston's Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby (KHOU) airports currently show temperatures reaching 89°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, already exceeding the 86°F threshold and supporting the market's unanimous trader consensus on 86°F or higher as the day's high. This aligns with official forecasts projecting a peak near 87°F amid high pressure dominance, above the May 10 climatological normal of 85°F. Model consensus reflects ample solar heating with minimal cloud interference so far. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of late-afternoon thunderstorms ahead of an approaching cold front capping temperatures below 86°F, though low rain chances (slight) and current upward trends render this unlikely; final NWS daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$40,858End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Houston's Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby (KHOU) airports currently show temperatures reaching 89°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, already exceeding the 86°F threshold and supporting the market's unanimous trader consensus on 86°F or higher as the day's high. This aligns with official forecasts projecting a peak near 87°F amid high pressure dominance, above the May 10 climatological normal of 85°F. Model consensus reflects ample solar heating with minimal cloud interference so far. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of late-afternoon thunderstorms ahead of an approaching cold front capping temperatures below 86°F, though low rain chances (slight) and current upward trends render this unlikely; final NWS daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,858End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at Houston's Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby (KHOU) airports currently show temperatures reaching 89°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, already exceeding the 86°F threshold and supporting the market's unanimous trader consensus on 86°F or higher as the day's high. This aligns with official forecasts projecting a peak near 87°F amid high pressure dominance, above the May 10 climatological normal of 85°F. Model consensus reflects ample solar heating with minimal cloud interference so far. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of late-afternoon thunderstorms ahead of an approaching cold front capping temperatures below 86°F, though low rain chances (slight) and current upward trends render this unlikely; final NWS daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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