BMKG observations from Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport—Jakarta's official weather station for such metrics—confirm the highest temperature on May 10 reached exactly 34°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with seasonal norms for Jakarta's early dry season, where May highs typically range 32–34°C amid high humidity and occasional cloud cover, as seen in recent BMKG bulletins noting berawan conditions and low thunderstorm risk that capped intensification. Historical data shows rare exceedances above 35°C without prolonged clear skies or heat domes, absent today. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from BMKG or measurement discrepancies, though official records carry authoritative weight; final confirmation awaits end-of-day aggregation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 10?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$74,811 Vol.
$74,811 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$74,811 Vol.
$74,811 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
BMKG observations from Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport—Jakarta's official weather station for such metrics—confirm the highest temperature on May 10 reached exactly 34°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with seasonal norms for Jakarta's early dry season, where May highs typically range 32–34°C amid high humidity and occasional cloud cover, as seen in recent BMKG bulletins noting berawan conditions and low thunderstorm risk that capped intensification. Historical data shows rare exceedances above 35°C without prolonged clear skies or heat domes, absent today. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from BMKG or measurement discrepancies, though official records carry authoritative weight; final confirmation awaits end-of-day aggregation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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