Jeddah's subtropical desert climate produces routine June daytime highs averaging 36–38°C, driven by intense solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm Red Sea moisture that elevates heat index values. Current forecasts from multiple models align on peak temperatures of 37–43°C for June 11 under clear, sunny conditions with light winds, placing the daily maximum firmly above 38°C and supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for that outcome. Historical data show June extremes routinely surpassing this threshold, with no recent meteorological shifts such as unusual monsoon intrusions or cooling fronts expected to alter the pattern. Only a major, unforecasted change in steering flow or measurement anomaly at official stations could realistically push the high below 38°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 11?
38°C or higher 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,382 Vol.
$20,382 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
Yes
38°C or higher 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,382 Vol.
$20,382 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jeddah's subtropical desert climate produces routine June daytime highs averaging 36–38°C, driven by intense solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm Red Sea moisture that elevates heat index values. Current forecasts from multiple models align on peak temperatures of 37–43°C for June 11 under clear, sunny conditions with light winds, placing the daily maximum firmly above 38°C and supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for that outcome. Historical data show June extremes routinely surpassing this threshold, with no recent meteorological shifts such as unusual monsoon intrusions or cooling fronts expected to alter the pattern. Only a major, unforecasted change in steering flow or measurement anomaly at official stations could realistically push the high below 38°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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