Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 31–32°C on August 27 amid thunderstorms and north winds of 2–3 levels, consistent with late-summer patterns under lingering subtropical high influence. This places the maximum comfortably above 26°C, driving the 91% market-implied probability as traders incorporate official guidance and historical August averages around 28–30°C. Cloud cover and precipitation may moderate peak readings slightly compared to the prior two days' 34°C highs, yet consensus remains firm. Unusually strong convective cooling or a sharper-than-expected frontal shift could push the high below 26°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such an outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
26°C or higher 97%
24°C 5%
25°C 4%
16°C or below 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97%
24°C 5%
25°C 4%
16°C or below 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
16°C or below
$1,023 Vol.
1%
17°C
$817 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$763 Vol.
5%
25°C
$467 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$467 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 31–32°C on August 27 amid thunderstorms and north winds of 2–3 levels, consistent with late-summer patterns under lingering subtropical high influence. This places the maximum comfortably above 26°C, driving the 91% market-implied probability as traders incorporate official guidance and historical August averages around 28–30°C. Cloud cover and precipitation may moderate peak readings slightly compared to the prior two days' 34°C highs, yet consensus remains firm. Unusually strong convective cooling or a sharper-than-expected frontal shift could push the high below 26°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such an outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,150End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 31–32°C on August 27 amid thunderstorms and north winds of 2–3 levels, consistent with late-summer patterns under lingering subtropical high influence. This places the maximum comfortably above 26°C, driving the 91% market-implied probability as traders incorporate official guidance and historical August averages around 28–30°C. Cloud cover and precipitation may moderate peak readings slightly compared to the prior two days' 34°C highs, yet consensus remains firm. Unusually strong convective cooling or a sharper-than-expected frontal shift could push the high below 26°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such an outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,150End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 31–32°C on August 27 amid thunderstorms and north winds of 2–3 levels, consistent with late-summer patterns under lingering subtropical high influence. This places the maximum comfortably above 26°C, driving the 91% market-implied probability as traders incorporate official guidance and historical August averages around 28–30°C. Cloud cover and precipitation may moderate peak readings slightly compared to the prior two days' 34°C highs, yet consensus remains firm. Unusually strong convective cooling or a sharper-than-expected frontal shift could push the high below 26°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such an outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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