Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the National Meteorological Center and international models underpins the 95% market-implied probability for a Jinan minimum of 22°C or higher on August 26. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, with official guidance projecting lows near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and only scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 23–25°C, but current warm anomalies have kept recent observed lows elevated. This positioning could shift only with a major, unforecasted cold surge or widespread model divergence in the final 12–24 hours, scenarios viewed as low-probability by current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
22°C or higher 99%
21°C 7.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
21°C 7.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$19 Vol.
1%
19°C
$17 Vol.
1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$353 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the National Meteorological Center and international models underpins the 95% market-implied probability for a Jinan minimum of 22°C or higher on August 26. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, with official guidance projecting lows near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and only scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 23–25°C, but current warm anomalies have kept recent observed lows elevated. This positioning could shift only with a major, unforecasted cold surge or widespread model divergence in the final 12–24 hours, scenarios viewed as low-probability by current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$575End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the National Meteorological Center and international models underpins the 95% market-implied probability for a Jinan minimum of 22°C or higher on August 26. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, with official guidance projecting lows near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and only scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 23–25°C, but current warm anomalies have kept recent observed lows elevated. This positioning could shift only with a major, unforecasted cold surge or widespread model divergence in the final 12–24 hours, scenarios viewed as low-probability by current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$575End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the National Meteorological Center and international models underpins the 95% market-implied probability for a Jinan minimum of 22°C or higher on August 26. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, with official guidance projecting lows near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and only scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 23–25°C, but current warm anomalies have kept recent observed lows elevated. This positioning could shift only with a major, unforecasted cold surge or widespread model divergence in the final 12–24 hours, scenarios viewed as low-probability by current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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