Current forecasts from meteorological agencies show Jinan’s overnight low on August 27 remaining in the 23–26 °C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80 %, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the usual nighttime temperature drop typical of late-summer clear skies, keeping minimums well above the historical average near 22 °C. With no incoming cold front or significant dry-air advection expected before resolution, trader consensus heavily favors 22 °C or higher, while the slim probabilities attached to 21 °C or below reflect only the narrow chance of brief clearing allowing modest additional cooling. Updated model runs through the evening will determine whether any late adjustment shifts these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
22°C or higher 99%
21°C 46%
20°C 2%
16°C 1.0%
$2,477 Vol.
$2,477 Vol.
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
46%
22°C or higher
76%
22°C or higher 99%
21°C 46%
20°C 2%
16°C 1.0%
$2,477 Vol.
$2,477 Vol.
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
46%
22°C or higher
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies show Jinan’s overnight low on August 27 remaining in the 23–26 °C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80 %, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the usual nighttime temperature drop typical of late-summer clear skies, keeping minimums well above the historical average near 22 °C. With no incoming cold front or significant dry-air advection expected before resolution, trader consensus heavily favors 22 °C or higher, while the slim probabilities attached to 21 °C or below reflect only the narrow chance of brief clearing allowing modest additional cooling. Updated model runs through the evening will determine whether any late adjustment shifts these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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