Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Jinan on August 28, driven by northerly winds shifting behind scattered thunderstorms that will disrupt the recent heat dome and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of highs near 34–35°C under subtropical high influence, with the frontal passage and precipitation (30–70% probability) expected to lower overnight readings by 3–5°C relative to prior minima. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect model consensus on these thresholds while acknowledging uncertainty from variable storm timing and localized wind gusts; lower bins capture risks of stronger cooling if convection persists into the night. Official updates from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory ahead of landfall windows will likely refine probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
22°C or higher 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
48%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
22°C or higher 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
25%
15°C
$5 Vol.
25%
16°C
$5 Vol.
49%
17°C
$5 Vol.
49%
18°C
$5 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Jinan on August 28, driven by northerly winds shifting behind scattered thunderstorms that will disrupt the recent heat dome and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of highs near 34–35°C under subtropical high influence, with the frontal passage and precipitation (30–70% probability) expected to lower overnight readings by 3–5°C relative to prior minima. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect model consensus on these thresholds while acknowledging uncertainty from variable storm timing and localized wind gusts; lower bins capture risks of stronger cooling if convection persists into the night. Official updates from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory ahead of landfall windows will likely refine probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Jinan on August 28, driven by northerly winds shifting behind scattered thunderstorms that will disrupt the recent heat dome and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of highs near 34–35°C under subtropical high influence, with the frontal passage and precipitation (30–70% probability) expected to lower overnight readings by 3–5°C relative to prior minima. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect model consensus on these thresholds while acknowledging uncertainty from variable storm timing and localized wind gusts; lower bins capture risks of stronger cooling if convection persists into the night. Official updates from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory ahead of landfall windows will likely refine probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Jinan on August 28, driven by northerly winds shifting behind scattered thunderstorms that will disrupt the recent heat dome and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of highs near 34–35°C under subtropical high influence, with the frontal passage and precipitation (30–70% probability) expected to lower overnight readings by 3–5°C relative to prior minima. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect model consensus on these thresholds while acknowledging uncertainty from variable storm timing and localized wind gusts; lower bins capture risks of stronger cooling if convection persists into the night. Official updates from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory ahead of landfall windows will likely refine probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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