Recent official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF consensus) indicate a daytime high near 27–29°C on August 28, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating after recent hotter conditions. These factors align with the 94% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below this threshold despite typical model spread in precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines for Jinan average 28–30°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed maxima. A narrower storm track or delayed onset of convection could allow brief clearing and push readings slightly higher, though sustained northerly advection makes sub-26°C outcomes unlikely absent major forecast revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
26°C or higher 94%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
23°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
23°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
3%
24°C
$255 Vol.
5%
25°C
$89 Vol.
5%
26°C or higher
$151 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF consensus) indicate a daytime high near 27–29°C on August 28, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating after recent hotter conditions. These factors align with the 94% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below this threshold despite typical model spread in precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines for Jinan average 28–30°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed maxima. A narrower storm track or delayed onset of convection could allow brief clearing and push readings slightly higher, though sustained northerly advection makes sub-26°C outcomes unlikely absent major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,295End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF consensus) indicate a daytime high near 27–29°C on August 28, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating after recent hotter conditions. These factors align with the 94% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below this threshold despite typical model spread in precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines for Jinan average 28–30°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed maxima. A narrower storm track or delayed onset of convection could allow brief clearing and push readings slightly higher, though sustained northerly advection makes sub-26°C outcomes unlikely absent major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,295End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF consensus) indicate a daytime high near 27–29°C on August 28, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating after recent hotter conditions. These factors align with the 94% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below this threshold despite typical model spread in precipitation timing. Historical late-August baselines for Jinan average 28–30°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed maxima. A narrower storm track or delayed onset of convection could allow brief clearing and push readings slightly higher, though sustained northerly advection makes sub-26°C outcomes unlikely absent major forecast revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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