Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Yr.no, project a high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where early-September averages reach 28°C. This strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflects reliable short-range model agreement on persistent warmth without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid cloud cover increase, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns and the proximity to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 1?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
21°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
21°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$410 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$290 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Yr.no, project a high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where early-September averages reach 28°C. This strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflects reliable short-range model agreement on persistent warmth without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid cloud cover increase, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns and the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,466End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Yr.no, project a high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where early-September averages reach 28°C. This strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflects reliable short-range model agreement on persistent warmth without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid cloud cover increase, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns and the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,466End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Yr.no, project a high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where early-September averages reach 28°C. This strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflects reliable short-range model agreement on persistent warmth without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid cloud cover increase, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns and the proximity to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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