**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated. The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 12?
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$37,805 Vol.
$37,805 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$37,805 Vol.
$37,805 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
31°C or below
$526 Vol.
No
32°C
$568 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,937 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,809 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,459 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,504 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,545 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$3,517 Vol.
No
39°C
$5,082 Vol.
No
40°C
$4,441 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$2,415 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated.
The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$37,805End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated.
The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,805End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 37°C as the near-certain maximum temperature recorded at Karachi’s Masroor Airbase Station on June 12, 2026.** This positioning reflects updated observational trends and model guidance showing moderating conditions after an earlier heatwave period with peaks near 39–40°C. Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model runs indicate a high-pressure system yielding to increased cloud cover, gusty winds, possible dust activity, and isolated thunderstorm chances from a fresh weather system traversing the region around June 11–13. These factors reduce daytime solar insolation and limit surface heating relative to the June climatological average of roughly 34–36°C, even as baseline warmth from persistent seasonal heating remains elevated. The market-implied 100% probability on the 37°C outcome aligns with current forecast consensus from multiple sources projecting a daily high near that threshold under partly cloudy to windy conditions. Only substantial deviations—such as unexpectedly persistent clear skies enabling stronger radiative heating or revisions in official station measurements—could realistically shift the recorded maximum outside this bin, though recent trends and guidance make such outcomes highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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