Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 27, 2026, propelling trader consensus to virtual certainty on this outcome. This reading aligns with NiMet's forecast of sunny intervals and partly cloudy conditions across southern Nigeria, slightly exceeding the historical April average high of 32.1°C amid persistent dry season patterns, low cloud cover, and urban heat island effects amplifying temperatures at the coastal airport site. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF had converged on 33–35°C prior to the event, with minimal convective activity limiting cooling. Realistic challenges include post hoc data audits by NiMet revealing quality issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though finalization typically precludes such shifts; traders await official Wunderground archive confirmation for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 27?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,870 Vol.
$52,870 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,870 Vol.
$52,870 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 27, 2026, propelling trader consensus to virtual certainty on this outcome. This reading aligns with NiMet's forecast of sunny intervals and partly cloudy conditions across southern Nigeria, slightly exceeding the historical April average high of 32.1°C amid persistent dry season patterns, low cloud cover, and urban heat island effects amplifying temperatures at the coastal airport site. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF had converged on 33–35°C prior to the event, with minimal convective activity limiting cooling. Realistic challenges include post hoc data audits by NiMet revealing quality issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though finalization typically precludes such shifts; traders await official Wunderground archive confirmation for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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