Recent Met Office forecasts and European model consensus position 19°C as the leading outcome for London's highest temperature on June 3, driven by breezy southwesterly winds and scattered showers that suppress solar heating and promote atmospheric mixing. Official guidance highlights a maximum near 19–21°C under these influences, aligning with the market's strong preference for 19°C while assigning lower odds to 20°C or above due to persistent cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies or a delayed shower arrival could allow modest additional warming before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on June 3?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$207,129 Vol.
$207,129 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$207,129 Vol.
$207,129 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Met Office forecasts and European model consensus position 19°C as the leading outcome for London's highest temperature on June 3, driven by breezy southwesterly winds and scattered showers that suppress solar heating and promote atmospheric mixing. Official guidance highlights a maximum near 19–21°C under these influences, aligning with the market's strong preference for 19°C while assigning lower odds to 20°C or above due to persistent cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies or a delayed shower arrival could allow modest additional warming before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions