Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 Vol.
$74,142 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
38°C or below
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 Vol.
$74,142 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
38°C or below
$6,104 Vol.
No
39°C
$9,667 Vol.
No
40°C
$7,896 Vol.
No
41°C
$16,164 Vol.
Yes
42°C
$9,528 Vol.
No
43°C
$6,774 Vol.
No
44°C
$3,556 Vol.
No
45°C
$1,895 Vol.
No
46°C
$8,935 Vol.
No
47°C
$2,019 Vol.
No
48°C or higher
$1,606 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$74,142End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,142End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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