Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, 2026, with limited rainfall risk supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 34°C. Persistent late-monsoon moisture and a recent cyclonic circulation produced 13–26 mm of rain on September 19, capping that day's high at 34°C and maintaining elevated humidity that has tempered daytime heating. As the system weakens, clearer skies and light northwesterly flow are expected to allow modest rebound warming, though scattered afternoon convection could still clip peaks. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point trends currently favors the 34°C bin over higher or lower outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
34°C 52%
35°C 25%
32°C 23%
31°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
23%
33°C
21%
34°C
52%
35°C
25%
36°C
9%
37°C
13%
38°C or higher
10%
34°C 52%
35°C 25%
32°C 23%
31°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$67 Vol.
52%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C
$0 Vol.
9%
37°C
$0 Vol.
13%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, 2026, with limited rainfall risk supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 34°C. Persistent late-monsoon moisture and a recent cyclonic circulation produced 13–26 mm of rain on September 19, capping that day's high at 34°C and maintaining elevated humidity that has tempered daytime heating. As the system weakens, clearer skies and light northwesterly flow are expected to allow modest rebound warming, though scattered afternoon convection could still clip peaks. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point trends currently favors the 34°C bin over higher or lower outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$67End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, 2026, with limited rainfall risk supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 34°C. Persistent late-monsoon moisture and a recent cyclonic circulation produced 13–26 mm of rain on September 19, capping that day's high at 34°C and maintaining elevated humidity that has tempered daytime heating. As the system weakens, clearer skies and light northwesterly flow are expected to allow modest rebound warming, though scattered afternoon convection could still clip peaks. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point trends currently favors the 34°C bin over higher or lower outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, 2026, with limited rainfall risk supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 34°C. Persistent late-monsoon moisture and a recent cyclonic circulation produced 13–26 mm of rain on September 19, capping that day's high at 34°C and maintaining elevated humidity that has tempered daytime heating. As the system weakens, clearer skies and light northwesterly flow are expected to allow modest rebound warming, though scattered afternoon convection could still clip peaks. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point trends currently favors the 34°C bin over higher or lower outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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