Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 21 project a maximum of 36°C under mainly clear skies, with morning humidity near 76% dropping to 43% by evening and light northerly winds. This reflects the typical post-monsoon transition, where reduced cloud cover and minimal rainfall allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared to earlier September days that peaked at 34–35°C. International models show slightly cooler readings around 34°C, contributing to trader caution. The market's strong weighting toward 33–34°C (89% combined implied probability) versus the 8% on 35°C suggests emphasis on historical September averages near 33°C and uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate effects rather than the latest official guidance. Resolution hinges on the day's verified maximum from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 21?
34°C 56%
33°C 34%
35°C 8%
32°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
34%
34°C
56%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 56%
33°C 34%
35°C 8%
32°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 21, 2026
29°C or below
$242 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C
$270 Vol.
3%
33°C
$828 Vol.
34%
34°C
$874 Vol.
56%
35°C
$590 Vol.
8%
36°C
$226 Vol.
3%
37°C
$323 Vol.
2%
38°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 21 project a maximum of 36°C under mainly clear skies, with morning humidity near 76% dropping to 43% by evening and light northerly winds. This reflects the typical post-monsoon transition, where reduced cloud cover and minimal rainfall allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared to earlier September days that peaked at 34–35°C. International models show slightly cooler readings around 34°C, contributing to trader caution. The market's strong weighting toward 33–34°C (89% combined implied probability) versus the 8% on 35°C suggests emphasis on historical September averages near 33°C and uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate effects rather than the latest official guidance. Resolution hinges on the day's verified maximum from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,105End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 21 project a maximum of 36°C under mainly clear skies, with morning humidity near 76% dropping to 43% by evening and light northerly winds. This reflects the typical post-monsoon transition, where reduced cloud cover and minimal rainfall allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared to earlier September days that peaked at 34–35°C. International models show slightly cooler readings around 34°C, contributing to trader caution. The market's strong weighting toward 33–34°C (89% combined implied probability) versus the 8% on 35°C suggests emphasis on historical September averages near 33°C and uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate effects rather than the latest official guidance. Resolution hinges on the day's verified maximum from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,105End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 21 project a maximum of 36°C under mainly clear skies, with morning humidity near 76% dropping to 43% by evening and light northerly winds. This reflects the typical post-monsoon transition, where reduced cloud cover and minimal rainfall allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared to earlier September days that peaked at 34–35°C. International models show slightly cooler readings around 34°C, contributing to trader caution. The market's strong weighting toward 33–34°C (89% combined implied probability) versus the 8% on 35°C suggests emphasis on historical September averages near 33°C and uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate effects rather than the latest official guidance. Resolution hinges on the day's verified maximum from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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