PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on April 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 29?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 Vol.
$43,646 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 Vol.
$43,646 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
$1,149 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,191 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,807 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,724 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,882 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,710 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,589 Vol.
No
37°C
$8,962 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$7,446 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,940 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$5,247 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$43,646End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,646End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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