Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on August 27, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters combined with the ongoing rainy season typically caps afternoon temperatures through widespread cloud cover and scattered convection that develops by midday. Light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 60% further limit radiative heating, while the urban heat island effect provides only modest upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, though exact timing of any thunderstorms could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
26°C 12%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
40%
25°C
33%
26°C
12%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
26°C 12%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$249 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$36 Vol.
1%
20°C
$36 Vol.
1%
21°C
$69 Vol.
2%
22°C
$93 Vol.
5%
23°C
$290 Vol.
11%
24°C
$156 Vol.
40%
25°C
$431 Vol.
33%
26°C
$170 Vol.
12%
27°C
$118 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on August 27, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters combined with the ongoing rainy season typically caps afternoon temperatures through widespread cloud cover and scattered convection that develops by midday. Light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 60% further limit radiative heating, while the urban heat island effect provides only modest upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, though exact timing of any thunderstorms could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,665End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on August 27, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters combined with the ongoing rainy season typically caps afternoon temperatures through widespread cloud cover and scattered convection that develops by midday. Light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 60% further limit radiative heating, while the urban heat island effect provides only modest upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, though exact timing of any thunderstorms could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,665End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on August 27, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters combined with the ongoing rainy season typically caps afternoon temperatures through widespread cloud cover and scattered convection that develops by midday. Light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 60% further limit radiative heating, while the urban heat island effect provides only modest upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, though exact timing of any thunderstorms could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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