Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, peaked at 88°F around 2:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome. This reading, above the climatological April normal of 84°F, reflects a warm air mass with light northeast winds and partial cloud cover from scattered showers, as anticipated by converging NOAA forecast models like GFS and ECMWF in the days prior. While final quality-controlled data could theoretically reveal a minor sensor anomaly prompting revision, multiple hourly reports and independent stations corroborate the measurement, rendering challenges highly improbable. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears resolution per official KMIA records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 19?
88-89°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$142,104 Vol.
$142,104 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$142,104 Vol.
$142,104 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, peaked at 88°F around 2:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome. This reading, above the climatological April normal of 84°F, reflects a warm air mass with light northeast winds and partial cloud cover from scattered showers, as anticipated by converging NOAA forecast models like GFS and ECMWF in the days prior. While final quality-controlled data could theoretically reveal a minor sensor anomaly prompting revision, multiple hourly reports and independent stations corroborate the measurement, rendering challenges highly improbable. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears resolution per official KMIA records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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