Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered rain from a recent frontal system that suppressed daytime heating on the 14th and 15th. High humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limit radiative warming while the basin topography traps moisture, keeping conditions stable but preventing stronger afternoon peaks. This aligns with September climatology showing rapid cooling from summer highs yet frequent overcast periods. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on modest recovery from cooler, wetter days, though small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
25°C 25%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
14%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$100 Vol.
4%
20°C
$30 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$25 Vol.
20%
27°C
$33 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered rain from a recent frontal system that suppressed daytime heating on the 14th and 15th. High humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limit radiative warming while the basin topography traps moisture, keeping conditions stable but preventing stronger afternoon peaks. This aligns with September climatology showing rapid cooling from summer highs yet frequent overcast periods. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on modest recovery from cooler, wetter days, though small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$189End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered rain from a recent frontal system that suppressed daytime heating on the 14th and 15th. High humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limit radiative warming while the basin topography traps moisture, keeping conditions stable but preventing stronger afternoon peaks. This aligns with September climatology showing rapid cooling from summer highs yet frequent overcast periods. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on modest recovery from cooler, wetter days, though small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$189End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered rain from a recent frontal system that suppressed daytime heating on the 14th and 15th. High humidity near 80% and light northeast winds limit radiative warming while the basin topography traps moisture, keeping conditions stable but preventing stronger afternoon peaks. This aligns with September climatology showing rapid cooling from summer highs yet frequent overcast periods. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model agreement on modest recovery from cooler, wetter days, though small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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