Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly winds on September 18, supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C under limited solar insolation. Trader consensus around 28–29°C reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, where stronger warm advection from the Yellow Sea or partial clearing could boost surface heating by 2–3°C. Key variables include cloud optical thickness modulating incoming radiation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passages that alter moisture and stability. Historical September maxima average near 26°C, but September 2026 patterns show elevated variability tied to lingering summer warmth. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
28°C 46%
29°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
30%
29°C
27%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
15%
28°C 46%
29°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$5 Vol.
12%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$26 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly winds on September 18, supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C under limited solar insolation. Trader consensus around 28–29°C reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, where stronger warm advection from the Yellow Sea or partial clearing could boost surface heating by 2–3°C. Key variables include cloud optical thickness modulating incoming radiation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passages that alter moisture and stability. Historical September maxima average near 26°C, but September 2026 patterns show elevated variability tied to lingering summer warmth. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$36End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly winds on September 18, supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C under limited solar insolation. Trader consensus around 28–29°C reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, where stronger warm advection from the Yellow Sea or partial clearing could boost surface heating by 2–3°C. Key variables include cloud optical thickness modulating incoming radiation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passages that alter moisture and stability. Historical September maxima average near 26°C, but September 2026 patterns show elevated variability tied to lingering summer warmth. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly winds on September 18, supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C under limited solar insolation. Trader consensus around 28–29°C reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, where stronger warm advection from the Yellow Sea or partial clearing could boost surface heating by 2–3°C. Key variables include cloud optical thickness modulating incoming radiation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passages that alter moisture and stability. Historical September maxima average near 26°C, but September 2026 patterns show elevated variability tied to lingering summer warmth. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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