National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 94°F for Miami on July 14 under sunny skies and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F (43%) and 92-93°F (33%) brackets. Above-average regional sea-surface temperatures enhance sensible heating during peak afternoon hours, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce 1–2°F uncertainty that supports the modest probabilities on 96-97°F and 90-91°F outcomes. Ongoing heat advisories and recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s reflect a persistent warm pattern with limited cloud cover, and updated model runs plus midday observations will further refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 14?
94-95°F 51%
92-93°F 42%
96-97°F 5.2%
90-91°F 5%
$10,879 Vol.
$10,879 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 51%
92-93°F 42%
96-97°F 5.2%
90-91°F 5%
$10,879 Vol.
$10,879 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 94°F for Miami on July 14 under sunny skies and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F (43%) and 92-93°F (33%) brackets. Above-average regional sea-surface temperatures enhance sensible heating during peak afternoon hours, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce 1–2°F uncertainty that supports the modest probabilities on 96-97°F and 90-91°F outcomes. Ongoing heat advisories and recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s reflect a persistent warm pattern with limited cloud cover, and updated model runs plus midday observations will further refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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