Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 6?
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 33%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
33%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 33%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 6, 2026
79°F or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$215 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$120 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$112 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$308 Vol.
13%
90-91°F
$209 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$247 Vol.
33%
94-95°F
$91 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$28 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,627End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,627End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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