**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on July 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 6?
26°C 27%
25°C 25%
27°C 16%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 6, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 27%
25°C 25%
27°C 16%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jul 6, 2026
22°C or below
$60 Vol.
3%
23°C
$70 Vol.
4%
24°C
$168 Vol.
5%
25°C
$169 Vol.
25%
26°C
$148 Vol.
27%
27°C
$2 Vol.
16%
28°C
$138 Vol.
7%
29°C
$40 Vol.
2%
30°C
$22 Vol.
2%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$838End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$838End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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