Current meteorological forecasts from major agencies converge on a Moscow daytime maximum of 26°C for June 8, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate southerly flow that favor gradual warming without excessive heat. This aligns with seasonal climatology where early-June highs typically reach 20–24°C but can climb a few degrees under favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus across runs supports this precise threshold, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability. An earlier-than-expected cold front, increased cloud cover, or localized precipitation could cap temperatures below 26°C, while stronger insolation or delayed mixing might push readings slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 8?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$47,676 Vol.
$47,676 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$47,676 Vol.
$47,676 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
22°C or below
$888 Vol.
No
23°C
$906 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,134 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,230 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,493 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$5,046 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,477 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,341 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,959 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,323 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,880 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from major agencies converge on a Moscow daytime maximum of 26°C for June 8, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate southerly flow that favor gradual warming without excessive heat. This aligns with seasonal climatology where early-June highs typically reach 20–24°C but can climb a few degrees under favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus across runs supports this precise threshold, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability. An earlier-than-expected cold front, increased cloud cover, or localized precipitation could cap temperatures below 26°C, while stronger insolation or delayed mixing might push readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$47,676End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from major agencies converge on a Moscow daytime maximum of 26°C for June 8, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate southerly flow that favor gradual warming without excessive heat. This aligns with seasonal climatology where early-June highs typically reach 20–24°C but can climb a few degrees under favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus across runs supports this precise threshold, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability. An earlier-than-expected cold front, increased cloud cover, or localized precipitation could cap temperatures below 26°C, while stronger insolation or delayed mixing might push readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,676End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological forecasts from major agencies converge on a Moscow daytime maximum of 26°C for June 8, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate southerly flow that favor gradual warming without excessive heat. This aligns with seasonal climatology where early-June highs typically reach 20–24°C but can climb a few degrees under favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus across runs supports this precise threshold, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability. An earlier-than-expected cold front, increased cloud cover, or localized precipitation could cap temperatures below 26°C, while stronger insolation or delayed mixing might push readings slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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