Weather models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate a typical mid-July high-pressure setup over central Europe, favoring peak temperatures of 28–29°C in Munich on July 16 with limited advection of warmer air masses. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover from passing troughs, and urban heat effects in the city, which can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic patterns, though minor shifts in jet-stream position or soil moisture could tip probabilities toward 30°C or 27°C. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on July 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 16?
29°C 37%
30°C 25%
28°C 21%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 16, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
37%
30°C
25%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 25%
28°C 21%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 16, 2026
24°C or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$114 Vol.
1%
26°C
$134 Vol.
2%
27°C
$96 Vol.
11%
28°C
$193 Vol.
21%
29°C
$181 Vol.
37%
30°C
$144 Vol.
25%
31°C
$183 Vol.
5%
32°C
$632 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,013 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate a typical mid-July high-pressure setup over central Europe, favoring peak temperatures of 28–29°C in Munich on July 16 with limited advection of warmer air masses. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover from passing troughs, and urban heat effects in the city, which can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic patterns, though minor shifts in jet-stream position or soil moisture could tip probabilities toward 30°C or 27°C. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,238End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate a typical mid-July high-pressure setup over central Europe, favoring peak temperatures of 28–29°C in Munich on July 16 with limited advection of warmer air masses. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover from passing troughs, and urban heat effects in the city, which can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic patterns, though minor shifts in jet-stream position or soil moisture could tip probabilities toward 30°C or 27°C. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,238End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate a typical mid-July high-pressure setup over central Europe, favoring peak temperatures of 28–29°C in Munich on July 16 with limited advection of warmer air masses. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover from passing troughs, and urban heat effects in the city, which can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic patterns, though minor shifts in jet-stream position or soil moisture could tip probabilities toward 30°C or 27°C. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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