Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, the authoritative station for New York City temperature records, confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 52-53°F amid persistent cloudy conditions, light precipitation, and northerly winds from a lingering cold front. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System, which predicted subdued highs below seasonal averages of 58-62°F due to stable high-pressure influence and low solar insolation. Trader sentiment reflects 100% implied probability on this bin, backed by verified hourly data showing no spikes above 53°F. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, though minor discrepancies in auxiliary station readings (e.g., LaGuardia) could prompt review before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 19?
52-53°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$166,419 Vol.
$166,419 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$166,419 Vol.
$166,419 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
47°F or below
$19,294 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$15,023 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$23,528 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$31,468 Vol.
Yes
54-55°F
$21,549 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$10,411 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$10,996 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$7,938 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,355 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,944 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$15,913 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, the authoritative station for New York City temperature records, confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 52-53°F amid persistent cloudy conditions, light precipitation, and northerly winds from a lingering cold front. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System, which predicted subdued highs below seasonal averages of 58-62°F due to stable high-pressure influence and low solar insolation. Trader sentiment reflects 100% implied probability on this bin, backed by verified hourly data showing no spikes above 53°F. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, though minor discrepancies in auxiliary station readings (e.g., LaGuardia) could prompt review before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$166,419End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, the authoritative station for New York City temperature records, confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 52-53°F amid persistent cloudy conditions, light precipitation, and northerly winds from a lingering cold front. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System, which predicted subdued highs below seasonal averages of 58-62°F due to stable high-pressure influence and low solar insolation. Trader sentiment reflects 100% implied probability on this bin, backed by verified hourly data showing no spikes above 53°F. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, though minor discrepancies in auxiliary station readings (e.g., LaGuardia) could prompt review before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$166,419End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, the authoritative station for New York City temperature records, confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 52-53°F amid persistent cloudy conditions, light precipitation, and northerly winds from a lingering cold front. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System, which predicted subdued highs below seasonal averages of 58-62°F due to stable high-pressure influence and low solar insolation. Trader sentiment reflects 100% implied probability on this bin, backed by verified hourly data showing no spikes above 53°F. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, though minor discrepancies in auxiliary station readings (e.g., LaGuardia) could prompt review before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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