Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Panama City, Panama, on August 19 reflects typical mid-August climatology, where daily highs average near 30°C with limited day-to-day variability from persistent humidity and frequent convective showers. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, is suppressing regional rainfall and cloud cover, which can allow slightly elevated daytime maxima compared to neutral years. Short-term steering patterns and local sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C further constrain extremes, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 5%. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 19?
32°C 45%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
34°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
45%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
34°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
45%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Panama City, Panama, on August 19 reflects typical mid-August climatology, where daily highs average near 30°C with limited day-to-day variability from persistent humidity and frequent convective showers. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, is suppressing regional rainfall and cloud cover, which can allow slightly elevated daytime maxima compared to neutral years. Short-term steering patterns and local sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C further constrain extremes, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 5%. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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