Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 18 center on afternoon highs near 30–31°C amid the wet-season pattern of high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and frequent cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects typical August climatology of 29–30°C daytime maxima, modulated by variable convective timing and steering winds that determine how much solar radiation reaches the surface before showers develop. Close probabilities between 30°C and 31°C highlight model sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and precipitation onset, with official guidance from regional meteorological services expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 18?
31°C 37%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
37%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
37%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 18 center on afternoon highs near 30–31°C amid the wet-season pattern of high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and frequent cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects typical August climatology of 29–30°C daytime maxima, modulated by variable convective timing and steering winds that determine how much solar radiation reaches the surface before showers develop. Close probabilities between 30°C and 31°C highlight model sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and precipitation onset, with official guidance from regional meteorological services expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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