Trader consensus on Polymarket shows 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on July 30, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone produce high humidity and afternoon convection that can cap daytime maxima or allow brief peaks near 33–34°C before thunderstorms develop. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest variability tied to exact timing of cloud cover and any embedded tropical waves, consistent with July climatology of 30–31°C averages. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model outputs expected tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 30?
34°C 42%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
31%
34°C
42%
35°C
16%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
$1,465 Vol.
1%
28°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$564 Vol.
1%
30°C
$264 Vol.
1%
31°C
$104 Vol.
2%
32°C
$442 Vol.
11%
33°C
$329 Vol.
31%
34°C
$401 Vol.
42%
35°C
$409 Vol.
16%
36°C
$191 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$373 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on July 30, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone produce high humidity and afternoon convection that can cap daytime maxima or allow brief peaks near 33–34°C before thunderstorms develop. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest variability tied to exact timing of cloud cover and any embedded tropical waves, consistent with July climatology of 30–31°C averages. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model outputs expected tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$5,539End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on July 30, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone produce high humidity and afternoon convection that can cap daytime maxima or allow brief peaks near 33–34°C before thunderstorms develop. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest variability tied to exact timing of cloud cover and any embedded tropical waves, consistent with July climatology of 30–31°C averages. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model outputs expected tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,539End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on July 30, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone produce high humidity and afternoon convection that can cap daytime maxima or allow brief peaks near 33–34°C before thunderstorms develop. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest variability tied to exact timing of cloud cover and any embedded tropical waves, consistent with July climatology of 30–31°C averages. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model outputs expected tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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