Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological services recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in São Paulo on June 8, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. Typical early-winter conditions under the influence of polar air masses produced stable, dry weather with afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, and model guidance showed minimal day-to-day variability. Traders priced in near-certainty because multiple monitoring stations converged on the same reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented station discrepancy or post-event data correction could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare for this market’s resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 8?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 8?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$27,466 Vol.
$27,466 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$27,466 Vol.
$27,466 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
19°C or below
$252 Vol.
No
20°C
$587 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,702 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,606 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,253 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,155 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$4,687 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,206 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,983 Vol.
No
28°C
$413 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$623 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological services recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in São Paulo on June 8, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. Typical early-winter conditions under the influence of polar air masses produced stable, dry weather with afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, and model guidance showed minimal day-to-day variability. Traders priced in near-certainty because multiple monitoring stations converged on the same reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented station discrepancy or post-event data correction could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare for this market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$27,466End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological services recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in São Paulo on June 8, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. Typical early-winter conditions under the influence of polar air masses produced stable, dry weather with afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, and model guidance showed minimal day-to-day variability. Traders priced in near-certainty because multiple monitoring stations converged on the same reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented station discrepancy or post-event data correction could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare for this market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,466End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Brazil’s meteorological services recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in São Paulo on June 8, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. Typical early-winter conditions under the influence of polar air masses produced stable, dry weather with afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 21–23°C, and model guidance showed minimal day-to-day variability. Traders priced in near-certainty because multiple monitoring stations converged on the same reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented station discrepancy or post-event data correction could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare for this market’s resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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