**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$220,499 Vol.
$220,499 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$220,499 Vol.
$220,499 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
22°C or below
$15,676 Vol.
No
23°C
$19,323 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,064 Vol.
No
25°C
$34,916 Vol.
No
26°C
$23,991 Vol.
No
27°C
$40,469 Vol.
No
28°C
$25,884 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$18,857 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,458 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,978 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$6,884 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$220,499End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$220,499End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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